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Cake day: June 1st, 2023

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  • Chuck Schumer had that power last wee

    And the senate would not need to be involved here. All but 1 house dems did vote against it when there was a real chance to stop it (it wasn’t 100% certain that republicans had the vors in the house)

    House dems are livid at Schumer. The house has been better at opposing - it’s just that their powers are much more limited while in the minority are more limited compared to the senate.

    Democrats have no subpoena power or ability to hold official hearings while in the minority

    The context was in flipping the house. They would be in the majority in that scenario

    If you for half a second think a Republican-led House

    Again the context was flipping the house











  • 90% the things Trump suggests are not something he actually does. The trouble is you’re never sure which 10% are what he will do

    He floods the zone with so much intentionally that it all looks like noise. Don’t get twisted by it all. It’s designed to make you numb and assume he is more powerful than he is. He’s done that this term and he did it during his first term

    Follow his direct actions more than his words. Based on actions, I’d actually be a bit more alarmed for Panama invasion than Canada right now. He directed military to create plans for that. Watch it more closely



  • I believe most of those were based on intentionally misreading of the orders from my understanding. The recent one with sending people to El Salvador was more much blatant. Especially as people within the whitehouse are blatantly poking at the judge. For instance, yhey are retweeting the el salvador president “joking” and saying “Oppsie, too late” (they were ordered to turn the planes around before they got there)

    It’s going to matter what the courts do from here out. They have the power to sanctuation. If Marshalls don’t enforce said sanctions, they have the power to deputize others to enforce for them if the courts are willing to do so



  • I think you mistake what I am saying. I am not saying their shouldn’t be larger numbers. I am telling you why it has been difficult to get those back again. But the movement is starting to grow again. Comparisons to the crescendos of other movements isn’t helpful to understand what it takes to make that happen

    Yes, it’s not new which is also why protestors are burnt out. There were millions protesting across the US during his first term and that movement did work - it lead to him getting voted out in 2020 and limited his damage to be less than it was this time around

    But five year have now passed between him getting voted out of office and so the movement against him lost energy. It has to be re-build essentially. Now people are much more cynical after he was re-elected. The 1st time people were absolutely pissed about him getting elected. No one like him had in their lifetimes. But now, it’s no longer “how could this happen?”, but “this is happening again”. That’s a much harder starting point for a movement - one with less hope

    Plus, the US media environment is actively worse - making the news about pushback harder to find. The protest aren’t covered anything close to as much as they were in 2017. The US media is now much more concentrated in billionaire control than it was in 2017. Since then Jeff Bezos bought the Washington Post and made changes, CNN’s new billionaire owner John Malone has shifted coverage, Elon Musk bought twitter, billionaire Patrick Soon-Shiong bought the LA Times and blocked endorsements of Harris, and so on

    There has been plenty more resistance that aren’t just protests right now too. For instance, in the courts with more success in getting him to stop things than you otherwise might think. Yes, he has been somewhat ignoring the courts, but mostly following them and they are blocking a lot. Hundreds of lawsuits are ongoing, many of which were filed on day 1 of his 2nd term. Here’s one tracker

    There has also been more resistance from state and local governments too - at least ones where Democrats have control. States and cities have a fair amount of power in the US. For instance, many have been blocking collaboration with ICE using local police and such (which slows the federal government down a lot)



  • I think you misunderstand what I am saying. Once a movement has grown it can organize things more quickly, but you’re looking at things at way too short of a time scale here.

    I assume you are referring to the recent protests in Germany based on your description. There were already growing protests of the AFD in Germany well before the CDU/CSU’s actions. That large protest wasn’t the first at all. There were protests growing earlier in 2025 and even some smaller ones going back to Jan 2024

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024–2025_German_anti-extremism_protests

    The fact that things are declining at such speed in a weird way makes getting protests spread harder. It’s a lot easier to unify around a single bad thing than five thousand things. Nothing feels shocking in that environment. Keep in mind that Trump’s strategy is to flood the zone with so many bad things it’s hard for anything to break through the noise. It’s designed to make people so numb they don’t think they can do anything. It takes time to remind people they can

    Especially with the online social media environment in the US repeatedly telling Americans that no one is fighting back. Comments like “we’re cooked”, “why is no one doing anything”, “where are the people protesting”, etc. have more of a negative impact than you would think