It seems that activity in Reddit was considerably slower around the 1st of July, by roughly 1.5k comments per minute. (For reference: the platform usually has between 8k and 3k comments per minute.)
I wonder if there’s some way to measure their quality too, as I predict that it dropped harder than the amount.
I am not sure, this is just my conjecture, but I think that what matters the most isn’t being tracked - a relatively small drop on amount of content should be side-to-side with a higher drop of overall quality and diversity. So Reddit will survive but bleed, I believe.
(I’m also glad that this made Lemmy so much more active. Before the recent events, this place was really slow.)
The quality of discussion on Reddit will also suffer. They may actually gain new users from all the media attention they’ve been getting, but I can already tell that some of the subreddits I frequented have seen some of the best members leave and more people more obsessed with fitting in / upvotes and trolls shitposting. It doesn’t take much for a niche sub with, say, 5k users of which 200 are really engaged with the sub, to change for worse once those people start coming in.