From Prof. Eliot Jacobson:
Wow! Wow! Wow!
North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies are going vertical again. And yes, I needed to extend the y-axis.
Yesterday’s temperature of 24.49°C (76.08°F) was 4.2σ above the 1991-2020 mean. The previous high for July 17 was 23.71°C (74.68°F) in 2020.
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1681321023306874880
Is this going to effect hurricane season in the way I think it will?
Hurricanes are quite fickle, they need specific conditions, and due to El Niño they are less likely to occur.
Cool thanks for the answer
It will make storms stronger; it will only marginally help cyclogenesis.
High wind shear during El Niño prevents hurricane formation. But these ones that do form will have an record-breaking amount of heat to draw from.
Thx