I’m usually a “Sane Trump Theory” supporter, but I see no outcome where the US achieves strategic gains in this one. Even with successful leadership assassination and significant damage to Iran’s current nuclear capabilities, it’ll just be kicking the can down the road and galvanising even more the Iranian people against the US. There’s no way an outright occupation of Iran will happen.

But most NATO substrates have also designated the IRGC as a terrorist org, which I think would imply that the offensive is somehow strategically important. I don’t like the whole depoliticising “distraction from Epstein” narrative, but I’m struggling to come up with alternatives here.

    • Lenin's Dumbbell @lemmygrad.ml
      24·
      4 months ago

      Eh, US Imperialism is far older than the Epstein files. Iran was attacked because it’s the last anti imperialist force in the ME that has any capacity to resist Israel and US. Also it controls a large chunk of the world’s oil

      • Bronstein_Tardigrade@lemmygrad.ml
        17·
        4 months ago

        Trump trying to take attention away from Epstein is no more lame an excuse than the ones dreamed up by all the presidents since Carter. In the last two weeks Trump has said it is about oil…protecting protestors…nuclear weapons program…back to oil…

    • Conselheiro@lemmygrad.ml
      OP
      13·
      4 months ago

      Erm, aren’t you? I see mentions of it everywhere. In fact, I see more mentions of it than actual decent analysis of US deployments. It’s even starting to get annoying seeing all the OSINT channels I follow get flooded with it.

    • ICBM@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
      12·
      4 months ago

      Epstein is deeply connected with the region, esp in Shitrael, UAE, Dubai, GCC countries, and all the players, and going back to Iran-Contra CIA arms smuggling in the 1970s.

      Focusing only on one piece of a larger imperialist project is a distraction from the bigger picture.

    • ☭CommieWolf☆@lemmygrad.ml
      9·
      4 months ago

      The Epstein story is peanuts compared to WAR WITH IRAN. if anything the Epstein is the actual distraction too literal war and imperialism, you know the thing that could kill millions of people.