• Arkouda@lemmy.ca
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    5 days ago

    What would “Elbows up” look like in this situation that doesn’t result in a massive recession?

    • CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.orgOP
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      5 days ago

      Well, we’re probably getting something like that either way.

      I do wonder if people are expecting public smack-talk from Carney, which would never gain us anything.

      • Arkouda@lemmy.ca
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        5 days ago

        Well, we’re probably getting something like that either way.

        I believe a recession at this point is pretty unavoidable as well, but the impact it will have is what I perceive is within some kind of control.

        I do wonder if people are expecting public smack-talk from Carney, which would never gain us anything.

        This is what I think most people have a problem with. They aren’t used to a PM who doesn’t talk consistent smack, negotiate in public, or has some level of respect for the position.

        Personally I find it refreshing the way Carney is moving. I may not agree with everything, but at least the logic is visible, and he is being pretty direct when he communicates.

        • CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.orgOP
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          4 days ago

          Yeah, he is nice and direct. I actually worry that will prove a weakness in the long run. The politician shtick where you use a ton of words to say nothing is popular because it works.

          It’s possible we can manage a UK-style deal where we accept “only” 10% in exchange for whatever perceived concessions. Trump will probably want a much lower rate on US products, though. That would make it hard to protect our domestic industries; they’d be losing US market share and not gaining market share here.

          • Arkouda@lemmy.ca
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            5 days ago

            Yeah, he is nice and direct. I actually worry that will prove a weakness in the long run. The politician shtick where you use a ton of words to say nothing is popular because it works.

            Unfortunately I have to agree with this, but I am hoping he can pull something off to change that popular way politicians like to get elected. Not high hopes, rational people never seem to last, but it’s all I got. haha

            It’s possible we can manage a UK-style deal where we accept “only” 10% in exchange for whatever perceived concessions. Trump will probably want a much lower rate on US products, though. That would make it pretty hard to protect our domestic industries; they’d be losing US market share and not gaining market share here.

            Considering what is known, Trumps proposal seems to be free trade for the US, tariffs for the “Privilege” of getting foreign products on US shelves, and no willingness to negotiate for anything less.

            I think it is possible to manage as well, but you raise a good point about our domestic industries being hurt in those conditions.

            I don’t know what a good deal for Canada would even look like at this point considering I do not believe Trump is going to stop until we are a part of the US. I cannot imagine what our Government is dealing with behind closed doors, and the more information that comes out the more it seems like Carney’s strengthening of ties with other partners is the priority while we dance with the devil buying some time.

            • Revan343@lemmy.ca
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              5 days ago

              the more it seems like Carney’s strengthening of ties with other partners is the priority while we dance with the devil buying some time

              I really hope so, because that’s the only sane thing for us to do as a country

            • kent_eh@lemmy.ca
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              4 days ago

              Considering what is known, Trumps proposal seems to be free trade for the US, tariffs for the “Privilege” of getting foreign products on US shelves, and no willingness to negotiate for anything less.

              That is my take on it as well.

              He is well known to take a “zero sum game” approach to pretty much every situation. The only way he can envision him winning is to make others lose.

              The concept of mutually beneficial agreements seems like something that he cannot understand or accept.

    • ikidd@lemmy.world
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      5 days ago

      I think the recesssion is coming if we stayed tied to the ship that’s heading for the reef.

      • Arkouda@lemmy.ca
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        5 days ago

        The problem is we are so coupled to that ship recession is basically inevitable. We could say today “No more trade with the US” from the bottom of our hearts and mean it, but our Economy would collapse.

        Even if we could perfectly and surgically decouple from the states, we still have to deal with the rest of the world being tied to that sinking ship.

        Realistically we need to be ready for a recession, and hopefully, the maneuvering being done will limit the damage.

        • ikidd@lemmy.world
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          5 days ago

          Probably. It’s wishful thinking to believe we can cut them off enough to not catch cold when they sneeze. And we all know they have a bout of pneumonia coming.

          Now if the idiot in chief caught a good case of pneumonia and cratered, there might be something to save yet.