Russia has moved to classify key demographic statistics following a dramatic collapse in its birth rate, which has plunged to levels not seen since the late 18th or early 19th century, according to a leading Russian demographer.

For decades, Russia has been experiencing a plunging birth rate and population decline, which appears to have worsened amid its ongoing invasion of Ukraine—with high casualty rates and men fleeing the country to avoid being conscripted to fight.

Projections estimate that Russia’s population will fall to about 132 million in the next two decades. The United Nations has predicted that in a worst-case scenario, by the start of the next century, Russia’s population could almost halve to 83 million.

  • rammer@sopuli.xyz
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    16 hours ago

    Population will fall to about 132 million in the next two decades

    Which means that it already is that low. If you don’t count the parts of Ukraine that Russia thinks it owns and the hundreds of thousands of young people who fled the country earlier in the war.

      • Valmond@lemmy.world
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        14 hours ago

        2-3 millions are dead or have fled for what I know.

        But a birthrate at 1.5? That’s bad news, 0.6 lower than the replacement level (2.1) so every new generation will be 30% smaller!

        • Aux@feddit.uk
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          11 hours ago

          Military losses are not deaths. Deaths are only a fraction of losses.

            • Tja@programming.dev
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              5 hours ago

              Deaths are estimated between 100k and 200k. People who fled could return, those are reversible.

              • Valmond@lemmy.world
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                2 hours ago

                Dude these numbers smells like Kremlin’s ass, you better back them up well if you want me to believe them.

                Also why on earth would people go back to Russia? Except like holidays.